NC Child Welfare Program

Use and Interpretation of Data

The data and charts available through this web site can help managers and staff in state and county departments of social services, as well as the general public, in several ways including:

By compiling information about all the children who enter placement authority, it is possible to understand the changing dynamics of participation in child welfare programs, particularly out-of-home care. In addition to producing reports for individual counties, the web site can provide reports for all the children entering care statewide. This includes reports for judicial districts and groups of counties of a similar population size: either large, medium, and small.

Most of the data presented in these reports are organized around the groups of children ("cohorts") who enter placement authority (or who have a report of abuse, neglect or dependency for the abuse & neglect report data) for the very first time each fiscal year. The data begin with fiscal year 1997-1998 (i.e., July 1, 1997 through June 30, 1998). This way of organizing the data ensures that each child is counted only once. Given the particularly low rate of reentry to care in North Carolina, this method also ensures that reentries to care are distinguished from initial entries.

Other types of data that describe the caseload of children in care at a given point in time or during a particular period of time are also available. This will provide different perspectives on the children being served by the child welfare system, including those in the caseload on a given day as well as all the children ever served by the system.

  • Release Notes : documentation on changes made on each new release of the web site

    Frequently Asked Questions

    Where is this information coming from?

    The data on this web site was obtained from information reported by the counties to the NC Division of Social Services on the DSS-5094 forms for placement authority information and the DSS-5104 forms for child abuse, neglect and dependency reports.

    How often are the data updated?

    All of the information on the web site is updated monthly around the middle of the month. At the bottom of each page of data, a date is listed for when the update occurred, for example "Data last updated 12APR07" (April 12th, 2007).

    What is a "cohort"?

    A "cohort" is a group of children who entered DSS custody/placement authority for the very first time in a given fiscal year. This applies to the data in the Experiences Report section (foster care data) or to the children whose first ever report occurred in a given fiscal year in the Abuse & Neglect section. For example, the SFY97-98 cohort in the Experiences Report data consist of those children who first entered care in the state fiscal year that began July 1, 1997 and ended June 30, 1998. This way of organizing the data ensure that each child is counted only once and that reentries to care are distinguished from initial entries.

    What is considered "foster care" for a child?

    On this web site, a child's experience in the child welfare foster care system begins on the date that the DSS obtained custody and/or placement authority of the child as reported on DSS-5094 in the placement authority begin date field. Their experience ends on the placement authority termination date. We primarily refer to this experience as time in "placement authority."

    What is the difference between "longitudinal" and "point-in-time" data?

    A detailed explanation of the difference between "longitudinal" and "point-in-time" data is found under the Abuse & Neglect Report Information section of the Use and Interpretation page.

    How accurate is this data?

    The data are as accurate as the information submitted to NC DSS by the counties on DSS forms 5104 (for child abuse, neglect and dependency reports) and 5094 (placement authority/foster care information). In this web site, we group and summarize the data so that it is more easily used to evaluate policy and practice, but we do not alter the original administrative data in any way.

    Is the information about the individuals that this data represents secure?

    There is no individual identifying information presented on this web site. All data are available in only aggregate and summary form to ensure privacy.

    How is this data used by county and state government?

    State and local administrators and practitioners may use this data to evaluate child welfare policy and practice. Child and family outcomes data are available beginning in SFY 97-98 so that performance can be monitored over time. Performance data can also be compared across counties, jurisdictions, and county groups as well as to the state as a whole.

    How do you cite information from this website?

    The suggested way to cite the data from this website is as follows: Duncan, D.F., Kum, H.C., Flair, K.A., Stewart, C.J., Weigensberg, E.C., and Lanier, III, P.J. (2008). NC Child Welfare Program. Retrieved [month day, year], from University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Jordan Institute for Families website. URL: http://ssw.unc.edu/cw/

    When are the measures updated?

    We update the measures every month with the most recent data we have. This can result in some changes in the measures from month to month as we get more accurate data. Typically, it requires at least six months of follow up time for the data to be reasonably complete. For example, for data concerning state fiscal year 2006-2007 (July 2006-June 2007), we expect the measures are reasonably complete in January 2008.

    Why are the CFSR measures on the website different from the published federal numbers for North Carolina State in the data profile?

    The federally-generated CFSR measures are calculated based on the official state submissions of AFCARS and NCANDS data. The AFCARS data are submitted twice a year and NCANDS data are only submitted once a year. These data files also only capture limited point-in-time information about children in care during the time frame under review. The measures on this website are calculated using the most up to date information available. Thus, as counties enter more information, such as date of discharge, discharge reason, or parental rights termination date, this information is incorporated into the measures available on the website resulting in slight changes from month to month. Data entered after the federal submissions are made get incorporated in the calculation of the website measures. This difference in the source data result in slight differences between the federal measures in the data profile and the website measures. However, we have found that as a whole the difference is negligible in most cases.

    How are the per 1000 rates calculated?

    To estimate the population, we used the census data that is collected annually in the American Community Survey (ACS), conducted by the United States Census Bureau. The Census, conducted every 10 years, focuses on counting the population. The American Community Survey provides communities the same kind of detailed information annually, which was previously only available every 10 years when the census was published.

    In order to estimate population change for each quarter, we use linear population growth. This means that we assume that the population grew by the same amount in each quarter over the course of one year. To calculate the population in thousands, the population for each time period is divided by one thousand.

    For the foster care caseload information, the census data can be used to compare the number of children in the foster care caseload considering the size of the population. To produce the rate of children in foster care found in every 1,000 children in the population (the rate per 1000), the number of children in a time period is divided by the population in thousands. In a similar manner, to produce the rate of reports of abuse and neglect in every 1,000 children (the rate per 1000), the number of reports of abuse and neglect in a time period is divided by the population in thousands during the same period.


    Commonly used acronyms

    1. Measures on the experiences report

    Pattern of initial placement

    This chart provides information on where the children were placed immediately following entry into custody/placement authority. While the options for placement types are varied, eight generalized types were identified: own home, with relative(s), foster home, group home, hospital, emergency shelter, court approved, and other. Missing data are also reported where applicable. The numbers provided indicate the percentage of children whose initial placement was in one of these placement types. This information helps in assessing the degree to which a given county, or the state as a whole, tends to rely on less-restrictive family-based placement settings rather than more-restrictive congregate care settings.

    These data come from the living arrangement field of the DSS-5094 forms.
    The following list indicates the living arrangement codes included for each category:
    Length of time in custody/placement authority

    Length of stay is a longstanding concern regarding children's experiences in out-of-home care. The charts produced in this analysis provide a clearer idea of how long children remain in placement authority. In addition to displaying the median number of days spent in custody/placement authority for each cohort, percentages of children remaining in custody at 3 months, 6 months, 12 months, 15 months, 18 months, 24 months, and 36 months are also included. The estimation of rates of exit from care for 3 months and 6 months make it possible to track the experiences of children who entered care in recent months. The median number of days reflects the point in time at which half of all of the children in the cohort have left care.

    Experiences of children ever placed in non-family settings

    The notion of least restrictive care is rooted in the belief that children can be served effectively in family settings, although the needs of some children may dictate that they be served in more specialized settings, at least for brief periods. This section contains information on the number of children in each cohort who are served in non-family settings, the proportion of children in the cohort that this number represents, the median number of days in non-family settings, and the median number of days in placement authority for each cohort of children with reported non-family placements. Non-family settings include placements other than the child's own home, placement with a relative(s), and family foster care.

    The following are specific living arrangement codes from the DSS-5094 included in non-family settings: 55 Residential School; 57 Small Group Home (Residential); 58 Small Group Home (Treatment); 61 Large Group Facility (Residential); 62 Large Group Facility (Treatment); 70 Emergency Shelter.

    Placement stability

    This chart displays information on the number of placements reported for each cohort of children in placement authority.

    Placement stability excludes short-term placements such as respite care, hospital visits, etc. Thus, the "No countable placements" category reflects those children who did not experience any placements. The following are specific living arrangement codes for placements that were not counted : Own Home: 50 Home of Parents(s); 59 Children's Camp; 63 Hospital; 64 Supervised Independent Living Arrangement; 68 Maternity Home; 69 Jail, Lock-up, Detention Facility; 75 Trial Home Visit; 76 Runaway; and 98 Respite.

    The amount of follow-up time is an important consideration for this indicator. More recent cohorts will have fewer placements than older cohorts simply due to experiencing less time in out-of-home care.

    Placement stability within the first year of custody

    Taking into account the follow-up time issue, we have added another measure for placement stability. We count the number of placements within the first year of custody in this measure. By setting a time limit, it is now possible to compare this measure across cohorts.

    Reentry into custody/placement authority

    This section provides information about the rate at which children in each cohort achieve a permanent placement, but later reenter placement authority. The rate of reentry for each cohort is based on the total number of children in placement authority for each cohort, the number who left placement authority, and of those the number who left before their 18th birthday. The number who reentered placement authority for a second time is based on those who left before their 18th birthday as only these children are eligible to reenter care.

    Under the analysis section, we use survival analysis to depict the rate of reentry into foster care. This section provides information about the rate at which children in each cohort have achieved a permanent placement and later reenter placement authority for the second time. The rate of reentry for each cohort is based on the total number of children who have achieved a permanent placement (i.e. their first placement authority has been terminated) before age 18 for each group. Of those children that have terminated their first placement authority, the graph depicts the rate of reentry into their second placement authority. It starts at 0% with no one in the second placement authority. Over time the rate increases. Where the line crosses the 10% line, 10% of the children who have terminated their first placement authority have returned for a second placement authority.

    By categories page

    This page enables users to compare the data tables and graphs by age groups, race and gender as well as by cohort.  Age groups include 0 to 5 years old, 6 to 12 years old, and 13 to 17 years old.  Race categories include White, African-American, American Indian/Alaskan and Other race.  Please note these categories do not separate ethnicity.  For example, the White category consists of White, Hispanic and White, and Non-Hispanic individuals. However, on the State Level Data By Categories and County Groups By Categories pages, users may choose to view the data by Hispanic ethnicity.

    Exit Type

    This is a new measure that we have added to the Experiences report section to provide statistics regarding the reasons that children exit DSS custody or placement authority. These types include exits to permanency, such as reunification, guardianship, and adoption, as well as other reasons children leave custody, including emancipation, transfer of custody to another agency, child ran away, death of child, and interstate compact placements. The data are from the termination reason field 23 of the DSS-5094 form submitted by the counties to the state data system. Below are the exit types with associated codes from DSS-5094.


    2. Federal Child and Family Services Review (CFSR) Measures

    Federal measures of state child welfare agency performance are monitored through the Child and Family Services Review (CFSR) process. The first round of CFSRs began in 2000 with a set of federal measures to assess safety and permanency outcomes. In 2006, in preparation for the second round of reviews, the permanency measures were changed from individual measures to composite measures. This page presents data for the Federal outcomes measures used as part of the first and second rounds of the CFSR process. Although current performance is evaluated using the round 2 measures, the previous round 1 measures are provided as a resource for those who want to continue to monitor performance with the original measures.

    We also provide additional information to look at the round 1 CFSR measures by various categories such as race, gender, and age.

    The Federal CFSR measures are based on data from 12-month reporting periods and provide information about agency performance regarding child safety and permanency. The CFSR round 1 measures address the following performance areas: recurrence of maltreatment, incidence of child abuse and neglect in foster care, length of time to achieve reunification, length of time to achieve adoption, foster care reentry, and stability of foster care placements. Although it is not a CFSR measure, an additional Federal outcome measure is presented that estimates the percentage of children age 12 and younger that are placed in group homes. The CFSR round 2 measures address the same safety measures of absence of recurrence of maltreatment and absence of incidence of child abuse and neglect in foster care. However, the permanency measures have been changed to composite measures addressing reunification, adoption, permanency for long-stay children, and placement stability. Each composite score is composed of several components or individual measures. Composite scores for the state are estimated by consolidating weighted county data for each of these components or individual measures, which are then scaled to fit on a range from 50 to 150. The federal government set national standards at approximately the 69th percentile, so if the state composite score is at this level or higher the state achieves substantial conformity on this measure. There are no national standards for the components or individual measures, but we report the 50th and 75th national percentile to provide a frame of reference.

    The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Administration for Children and Families provides a statewide data profile of these measures to North Carolina for use in the CFSR process. The data are based on the State's submission of data to the National Child Abuse and Neglect Data System (NCANDS) and the Adoption and Foster Care Analysis Reporting System (AFCARS). The State data are collected from case information gathered through state forms DSS-5094 and DSS-5104. However, the estimates of the CFSR measures for this web site are based on data received from the North Carolina Department of Social Services, which may have slight deviations from the federally-generated measures due to our ability to perform data cleaning and to provide periodic updates with corrected data. Although the CFSR measures were estimated as closely as possible to the original federal definitions of the measures, there may be slight variations in how we interpreted these definitions and calculated our estimates based on agreements with NC-DSS staff in order to provide performance measures that are most useful to the agency. For each of these federal measures, a full description of the definition and how they are estimated are provided. Please note that these federal measures are estimated differently from measures used on the North Carolina Experiences Report measures.

    The CFSR measures on the website may be different from the published federal numbers for North Carolina State in the data profile. The federally-generated CFSR measures are calculated based on the official state submissions of AFCARS and NCANDS data. The AFCARS data are submitted twice a year and NCANDS data are only submitted once a year. These data files also only capture limited point-in-time information about children in care during the time frame under review. The measures on this website are calculated using the most up to date information available. Thus, as counties enter more information, such as date of discharge, discharge reason, or parental rights termination date, this information is incorporated into the measures available on the website resulting in slight changes from month to month. Data entered after the federal submissions are made get incorporated in the calculation of the website measures. This difference in the source data results in slight differences between the federal measures in the data profile and the website measures. However, we have found that as a whole the difference is negligible in most cases.

    3. Abuse & Neglect Report Information

    The data on this page were obtained from the Child Protective Services (CPS) Central Registry System of the NC Division of Social Services (DSS). This information is collected by the counties and reported to the state on form DSS-5104. It is important to note that the state only collects information for CPS reports accepted by the county DSS for further investigation or assessment.

    Longitudinal

    The information in this section is organized by groups or "cohorts" of children and is based on the state fiscal year (SFY) of the child's first ever CPS report alleging abuse, neglect or dependency. For example, the SFY 97_98 cohort is comprised of children whose first ever CPS report occurred between July 1, 1997 and June 30, 1998. This "longitudinal" method of organizing the data allows us to follow the experience of a child over time and ensures that the child is only counted once. Longitudinal data are widely considered the most comprehensive data to use in accurately assessing children's outcomes over time.


    Point in time

    The information in this section contains a snapshot of the report information at the time that the data are generated by SFY. For example, for SFY 97_98 we count all CPS reports which occurred between July 1, 1997 and June 30, 1998.


    4. Foster Care Caseload

    The foster care caseload section provides point-in-time foster care caseload statistics for North Carolina.

    End of Month Data

    The caseload counts are based on the total number of children in foster care under DSS custody as counted on the last day of each month. Caseload statistics are provided on a monthly basis. The number of children in foster care under DSS custody is further broken down by the following categories: gender (female and male); age (0-5 years old, 6-12 years old, 13-17 years old, and 18+ years old); and race (White, African American, American Indian/Alaskan Native, Other); Hispanic ethnicity (Hispanic, not Hispanic). The current placement (relative, foster home, group home, hospital, emergency shelter, court approved placement, other placement) information is provided in a separate table.

    Annual Data Including Per 1000 rate

    The caseload counts are based on the total number of unique children in foster care under DSS custody during a particular 12 month period. Caseload statistics are provided on a rolling quarter basis. We provide gender information as well. Per 1000 rates are calculated by using the number of children in custody and the census estimate for that group of children.

    5. Census Data for North Carolina

    Summary data

    These data are taken both from the 2000 Census data, and from 1999 Poverty estimates. They can be found at the U.S. Census website, www.census.gov/index.html.

    Information from the 2000 Census data includes a breakdown of race/ethnicity and age for the state of North Carolina, individual counties, county groups by size, and county groups by judicial district. Information from the 1999 Poverty estimates includes breakdowns of families by age of children and female headed households. Data are also provided for individuals in poverty in overall terms and by age. Data on children in poverty and median household income are also provided. These poverty estimates are given for the state of North Carolina, individual counties, county groups by size, and county groups by judicial district. Note: The percentage of families in poverty, the percentage of families in poverty with female headed household, and the percentage of individuals in poverty are not availabe for groups of counties as this information is not available.

    Poverty census data

    This section contains poverty information from Census 2000 data for the state of North Carolina, individual counties, county groups by size, and county groups by judicial district. Data are presented in five categories: individuals in poverty, citizen and non-citizen, 130% of poverty level, Caucasians in poverty, and African-Americans in poverty. Included in the Individuals, Caucasian, and African-Americans in Poverty sections are presentations of the number of individuals in poverty for each category and breakdowns for children under the age of 18 and adults over the age of 65.

    SAIPE data

    This section contains information on the Small Area Income and Poverty Estimate (SAIPE) from the census bureau website. SAIPE data are designed to provide more current estimates of selected income and poverty statistics than the most recent decennial census. SAIPE data are presented for years 1997 through 2005 for the state of North Carolina, individual counties, county groups by size, and county groups by judicial districts. The main categories of information presented include estimates of people of all ages in poverty, children in poverty aged 5-17 in families, people age 0-17 in poverty, people under age of 5 in poverty (available for state only), and median household income. Ninety percent confidence intervals are also presented at the state level and individual county levels. For more information on how the estimates were calculated please see http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/saipe/.



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